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Analysis

For 5th October 2006 Updated


 

 

Good morning,

 

The Market Maps for today are complete. The analysis for today is below the Maps.

I am in the process of creating a Map for the German Bund contract. If you trade it

and you are interested, let me know. I know there are many prop trading arcades in

London that trade this contract.

Market Maps:

Stock Indices
US Stocks
Currencies
Commodities
Dow Jones Index
Google - GOOG
Euro Dollar
US 30-year T-bond
Nasdaq 100
EBAY
Sterling Dollar
Gold
DAX Map
Goldman Sachs - GS
Swiss Dollar
 
FTSE Map
Amgen - AMGN
Dollar Yen
Russell 2000 futures

 

Index Analysis:   FTSE 100 analysis - Dow analysis - Dax analysis

I listened to Michael Jenkins this morning from stockcycles forecast. He said " ask yourself this question: now that you bought Dow at 12,000 - what are you going to do with these stocks?" I thought it really summed up the paradox of the investment mentality of the heard. The main street investor thinks everything is in perfect order and maybe I am completely wrong thinking that it isnt. Either way, I will stick to my guns and say that we are about done on the upside and will see a move lower shortly, before the final push into november.

I entered into a short position in the SP500 and the Dow last night on the close as we hit the extensions from the chart you saw yesterday. Once the 1348 number was taken out, the market surged as expected to new highs and hit the 1.618 EXT perfectly, and a 1.272 EXT. I have attached the chart below so you can see what I mean.

The Dow Map for today is pointing to quite a reversal during the day. As I dont know if it will invert, I will stick to my short position and potentially reverse long later.

If you go to the analysis from yesterday, you can really see the value of the Maps. The gold market plunged and as the Map accurately predicted, the market recovered later in the day.

 

Tom

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